http://illuminatisilver.comSilver and Gold Price Plunge – an Explanation
Silver and Gold prices Plunge below $15 and $1200
https://youtu.be/h7q4n1jgUBYGold and Silver weekly Update – w/e 10th August 2018
https://youtu.be/r3HJRviJYmcWhat will happen to Silver Prices by the end of 2018 (Part 1 of 2)
https://youtu.be/6DN-0Jbrhv8What will happen to Silver Prices by the end of 2018 (Part 2 of 2)
https://youtu.be/d52YYGijGQsWhat will happen to gold prices by end of 2018 (part 1)
https://youtu.be/i0uAErkb7Q0What will happen to gold prices by end of 2018 (Part 2)
https://youtu.be/catG9BGZoy8We pointed out yesterday that gold fell to $1187 and silver to $14.89 and pointed out that while we thought there may be a temporary rise, the trend would be still down. Well in the last 24 hours we have seen gold dip as low as $1161 and has recovered slightly to $1176 and silver dipped to $14.37 and it too has recovered slightly to $14.68 but both levels are lower than they were when we reported.
So, going back to the purpose of this video why have gold and silver prices crashed? Well yesterday we said primarily it was the strength of the US Dollar. We still hold to this. However, its not just that alone, and in any case why has the US Dollar risen so sharply? Well 3 words: Turkey, Argentina and China.
OK we attempt to keep our videos as close to 10 minutes as possible, and not to over complicate them so here is a very brief synopsis:
1. The Turkish economy is in a mess and its currency the Lira is in freefall. Its inflation rate is reported to be 101% and President Erdogan is unwilling to raise interest rates. Meanwhile the US has increased tariffs on Turkey therefore plunging their economy into an even greater mess.
2. Argentina has just raised its interest rates to 40%. The Central Bank has raised interest rates for the third time in eight days as the country's currency, the peso, continues to fall sharply.
The after effects of the 2008 world economic recession resulted in the US adopting a major quantitative easing Programme. Much of this money went into assets which are now bubbling, e.g. the Equity market, bonds and to some extent property. An additional repository for these monies were what are known as carry trades. What this means is that an international speculator could borrow at lower interest rates in one currency to invest at higher rates in another. This was certainly seen in Argentina.
In other words, Argentina became dependent on cheap international credit.
The Chinese government recently reported that the economy grew 6.7% in the three months that ended in June compared with a year ago. That is pretty close to the rate that China has reported quarter after quarter over the past two and a half years. The pace puts it comfortably within its target of achieving growth of around 6.5% for the full year. Those figures belie warning signs elsewhere.
To add to its woes, The United States has started a trade conflict with China, and by this autumn it could widen the conflict by hitting another $200 billion in Chinese goods with tariffs.
So, these 3 factors alone, notwithstanding other factors which play normally have been the main cause for the rise in the dollar. How? Because people involved with these currencies have been moving out, and into the US Dollar – which for now is seen as a ‘safe haven’. This consequentially has had its effect on the gold and silver price.
Now we haven’t even factored in the fact that should world economies falter, and especially China’s. the monies available to buy silver for production will fall and so demand for silver will fall and the available monies available to purchase gold for investment purposes, especially by the general public will also decline. We then begin to enter into Harry Dent territory of $800 or even $600 gold and $5 silver.
Now whilst we do not believe from our analysis that things will get this bad, we have to factor that possibility in and this is why we have been pessimistic on both gold and silver for some time – as we follow these factors. Notwithstanding this it does look as if China and America will come to the table at some early stage and sort out these tariffs, but if they do not, then this could have quite a profound effect on the World economy.
The FED has now technically stopped its quantitative easing and has begun raising interest rates and is providing a very tight monetary policy regime.. This is inhibiting the availability of credit in the economy and is squeezing the potential for further economic growth. We have a situation where M4 a measurement of money supply is around 4.8% and GDP is around 4% or slightly over meaning inflation is close to just 1%. This suggests that monetary policy may in fact be too tight.
We thought we would share this with you, and help you understand some of our assessment techniques and concerns.
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