http://www.illuminatisilver.comhttp://www.facebook.com/illuminatisilverGold and Slver Price Forecast 2016 - by illuminati silver – Conclusion - part 3 of 3
Today is Wednesday 24th February 2016 and we are providing the third and final part of 3 videos as to our predictions for gold and silver for this year. Video 1 in the series identified the 11 main factors we take into account when assessing the gold market. Video 2 highlighted the factors we take into account when assessing the silver market and some of their implications.
In summary, the key factors we take into consideration, when assessing future prices and trends are:
1. Value of the U.S. Dollar
2. Value of Individual Countries currencies
3. Interest Rates
4. Inflation
5. Supply vs. Demand
6. Government Reserves/Holdings
7. Central Bank Instability
8. Quantitative Easing
9. Speculation
10. ETF’s, Futures, Comex
11. Global Crisis – Safe Haven Investment
12. Jewellery and coin demand
13. Silver as an Industrial Metal
14. Buying from China and India
15. Trend Analysis and Technical trading
16. The Gold to Silver Ratio
17. Gold to silver correlation
18. Politicians and Political dogma
Overall we therefore see silver for 2016 trading in the same range as experienced in 2015 between $13 - $17.50. We must bear in mind, that the first two months of this year has already witnessed an excellent rise but there is resistance at the $16 level and significant resistance at the $17.50 level. The GFMS team at Thomson Reuters forecasts silver prices to average $15.51/oz for the full calendar year and this ties in well with our price range of $13 - $17.50. We were anticipating pull backs from this time onwards, but they have not as yet occurred and may hold out longer than we originally anticipated.
Our gold range therefore for 2016 stands currently at a trade of between $1100 - $1350 and only if the FED actually raises rates can we envisage it falling below these levels.
Silver is benefitting from Gold’s attraction as a monetary metal but is suffering because of falling or stagnant Industrial usage. Economic conditions are not conducive to increases in demand for Industrial purposes, but are attractive to exchange fiat for precious metals and what is difficult to gauge accurately is the subsidisation effect of one for the other, especially with regard to silver. We do not see economic collapse in 2016 though we do foresee much turmoil in both Stock Markets, Currencies and other asset inflated markets. Added to this, the many reasons why gold and silver prices should fall, will be counteracted by this uncertainty and the desire at least for now to hold onto gold and silver as a hedge.
Please view our other 2 videos in the series:
Gold and Silver Price Forecast 2016 by illuminati silver (part 2 of 3)
https://youtu.be/0hShuh8wFegGold and Silver Price Forecast 2016 by illuminati silver (part 1 of 3)
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