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White House reaches out to China with an iron fist

Today is Monday 17th September 2018 and we are commenting on the USA outreach to China today.

White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said today at the Economic Club of New York that The United States is ready to negotiate a trade deal with China whenever Beijing is prepared for serious talks that will reduce tariffs and eliminate non-tariff trade barriers. He stated:

“We are ready to negotiate and talk with China any time that they are ready for serious and substantive negotiations toward free trade to reduce tariffs and non-tariff barriers, to open markets, to allow the most competitive economy in the world, ours, to export more and more goods and services to China,”

This follows the announcement on Saturday by Administration officials that President Donald Trump was likely to announce the new tariffs on about $200 billion of Chinese imports as early as today.

The upcoming tariffs will be on a list of items that included internet technology products and other electronics, printed circuit boards and consumer goods, including Chinese seafood, furniture and lighting products, tires, chemicals, plastics, bicycles and car seats for babies.

The ramifications from Saturday, and further endorsed today, caused a fall in the dollar index to 94.49 almost half a point and a consequent increase in the price of gold and silver. Gold is currently up $8 to $1201 and silver is up 12 cents to $14.19.

Traders are worried about a deteriorating trade war with China, but it’s the Whitehouse’s view that such a strong approach is necessary to force concessions by China.

This concern was re-iterated by Heenam Choi, CEO of the Korea Investment Corporation. He stated over the weekend “Economic problems in emerging markets and the ongoing trade war between the U.S. and China could increase the risk of the next financial crisis.” Now whilst we are not ready to go there as yet, we should not under-estimate the adverse economic effect that should this situation escalate further without an early resolution.

If gold fails to stay above $1200 and silver above $14.20 then we are confident that prices will reverse towards the end of this week and into the start of next week. However, if this situation deteriorates then we could have witnessed the bottom of this market. We don’t believe that we have, however, it would be remiss of us at least not to point out that possibility. We shall see how the markets respond to these ‘hardball’ tactics and for how long they remain sustainable.


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