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Why the gold to silver ratio is important Video

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Today is Monday 27th August 2018 and we are very briefly covering the Gold to Silver ratio and why it is important.

First, a simple definition: Basically, “the gold-to-silver ratio is the amount of silver it takes to purchase one ounce of gold.” I will say it again - “the gold-to-silver ratio is the amount of silver it takes to purchase one ounce of gold.” With gold currently standing at $1,205 and silver at $14.82 we divide the silver price into the gold price and come up with a ratio of 81.3:1 – yes gold is 81.3 times more expensive than silver or you need 81.3 ounces of silver to be worth the same value as 1 ounce of gold.

So why is it important and to whom is it important?

Well, Investors who trade gold bullion, silver bullion and other precious metals scrutinize the gold-to-silver ratio as a signal for the right time to buy or sell a particular metal, and in some cases to sell one and use the proceeds to purchase the other. So when the GSR is high, purchasing silver is preferred and when it is low then selling silver and or purchasing gold is preferred.

However there is a dilemma with this strategy; because the gold-to-silver ratio fluctuates so wildly, it can be difficult for inexperienced, new or small-scale investors to read the signals and make a profit.
So generally, because of the costs involved much of this selling, buying and swapping strategies tend to be more confined to the paper markets as opposed to the physical although having said that we are aware of physical holders doing this, but they have to factor in the costs and assess whether the transactions are large enough to cover these costs and to make it worthwhile.

So, in theory there is nothing to stop the gold to silver ratio becoming 110:1 or 30:1 it all depends on both the speculative and real demand for one compared to the other. What is fair to say though is that people who follow charts are in themselves pretty predictable and so when this magical 80 figure is breached, market corrections do occur – but having said that as any investment adviser will tell you, “the past may not be an accurate indicator of the future.”

Now this subject is much more complicated than this and there are various trading algorithms and patterns which do indicate what one should do or not based on historical data, however they are not always accurate for if they were then the majority of people who trade would make money where it is estimated by professionals that less than 10% of traders make money on a consistent basis. We shall be discussing this in greater depth within our Inner Sanctum in September.

Meanwhile and broadly speaking, if you believe that historical data is important and does reflect at least the psychology of traders, then in relative terms at 81:1 silver looks like a better investment opportunity than gold – we thought you would like to know.

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