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The Case for $10,000 Gold

Today is Tuesday 29th November 2016 and we are discussing the case for $10,000 Gold.

All of us have seen on the Internet a number of gold and silver pumpers stating that gold is about to rise to $10,000 any time soon. Some have said $5,000 and we have even seen one stating $50,000. Even some of our subscribers quote gold will reach $10,000 in 2017 or 2018 and we wondered where have these figures emanated from as our analysis based on fundamentals stress that $2,000 gold would be quite an achievement at that time.

Well apart from those making outrageous claims like Bix Weir who argues the case for $100,000 silver, yes you’ve heard it correctly $100,000 oz silver – with a set of conditions less likely to occur than someone winning the State Lottery three times in a row we have managed to identify the real advocate of this prediction who happens to be a serious economist and financial commentator.
Now we are confident that most of our listeners have heard of him, and we have mentioned him in the past – his name is Jim Rickards who has penned numerous New York Times best sellers on the relationship between commodities and currencies.
His latest book, "The New Case for Gold," defends the rationale that gold always has been, and always will be, a true safe haven during volatile times. He therefore urges investors to think of the commodity as insurance, but not an investment.

This is what he said recently on CNBC :

“We should expect the next global financial panic soon. We have imploded twice in the last 16 years so get ready for the third one….. In 2018, who’s going to bail out the Central Banks?.....The bailout money is going to come from the IMF [International Monetary Fund] as they have the only clean balance sheet left.”

He explains:
"Global M1 has about 40 percent gold backing. There's about 35,000 tons of official gold in the world. That comes out to about $10,000 an ounce to use gold to create confidence in the dollar…..the dollar price of gold moves around, but gold itself stays constant."

On that basis, this supports what we have said all along. Do not buy gold and silver in the belief that it will make you wealthy. Do so in that it will protect your purchasing power when others do not have that protection. Of course, should a financial crisis not occur, and the precious metals are not actively sought after, then a 5% - 10% holding of your assets in gold will not do you any significant harm. If on the other hand, you believe the pumpers are right and that Rickards forecast and timing is correct and you decide to go all –in, then heed this caution – your prosperity will then be dependent upon economic collapse (which will have a range of other unpleasant consequences) or if there is no collapse, you may be holding on to it for many years to come – so be prepared in more ways than one.

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