We live in a complex world that is sometimes hard to understand. But we often need to make clear decisions in our life. In this short video, I will try to explore how to become a clearer thinker, and make better decisions. Why we should solve problems using model thinking, and understand the world using systems thinking, and how?
First of all, we need model thinking for problem solving. Models are how we simplify the reality. A model is simply a representation of how something works. Models help us to better organize information and be a clearer thinker. Evidence shows that people who think with models are better problem solvers than those who don't. And people who think with lots of models outperform those who use only one model. There are three key principles when using model thinking to solve problem.
The first principle is, Reduction. We use models to simplify the complex into understandable chunks, because it is hard to keep all the details in our brains. We reduce most details and only keep the essentials. We focus on what works under the current situation, and avoid wasting time to look for complex solutions. A very famous mental model for problem-solving is called “Occam’s razor”. It states that the simplest solution is correct. It works best as a mental model for making initial and rapid decisions before adequate information can be used. For research work, the principle of “Occam’s razor” can be summarized as: ‘when you have two competing theories that make exactly the same predictions, the simpler one is better.’ The simpler a hypothesis is, the more easily it can be proved or falsified. Failing to observe Occam’s razor is often a sign of bad science and an attempt to cover poor explanations.
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