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Mistake #2 Underestimating expenses causing unrealistic profit | 9 Valuation mistakes Video

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My name is Andrew Stotz and I've been valuing companies for decades. When I was Head of Research at CLSA, I was voted the No. 1 Analyst in Thailand two years in a row.

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Mistake # 5 Forecasting drastic changes in cash conversion cycle

In this video, I am
* Talking about underestimating expenses, causing unrealistic profit as one of the most common valuation mistakes.
* Analyzing and forecasting 17 000 companies around the world over a 15-year period.
* Defining the value of the gross profit margin in forecasting.
* Providing real examples based on his own coffee business, CoffeeWORKS, and the IKEA, etc.
* Giving other sound advice, including the idea from the fantastic book: Understanding Michael Porter. The idea is that to forecast changes in gross profit margin, an analyst should study the supply chain.
* Looking at some common valuation mistakes in the academic-style research. ABC analysis and valuation.
* Evaluating the accuracy of net profit and net profit margin forecast analysts in Asia, based on the result of 540 the largest companies in Asia.
* Presenting expenses with the highest variability in the net profit margin.

And, most important, curb your optimism in the area of forecasting. Stay optimistic in life.

Want to know more about common valuation mistakes. Follow the links below:

# 1 Overly-optimistic revenue forecasts
https://youtu.be/9jkfAPcDomY

# 2 Underestimating expenses causing unrealistic profit
https://youtu.be/fP27UEbPYi8

# 3 Growing fixed assets slower than revenue
https://youtu.be/3dSsE13DhJ4

# 4 Confusing growth with maintenance Capex
https://youtu.be/QH4QJQedupE

# 5 Forecasting drastic changes in cash conversion cycle
https://youtu.be/fBcuoCPN43k

# 6 Underestimating working capital investment
https://youtu.be/W3bSlMQac2c

Find me here:

Podcast: https://myworstinvestmentever.com/
Blog: https://becomeabetterinvestor.net/
Facebook: https://facebook.com/andrewstotzpage
Twitter: https://twitter.com/Andrew_Stotz
Instagram: https://instagram.com/andstotz
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