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Emerging Market Collapse – Why are Gold & Silver prices affected?
Today is Monday 3rd September 2018 and we are going to talk about Emerging markets and how they can have a profound effect on gold and silver prices.
The US dollar remains the single most important consideration for Emerging Market finances. Why do we say this?
The most important reason is:
The rise in the local currency cost of servicing dollar-denominated debt.
Borrowing in foreign currency on a meaningful scale is almost entirely an Emerging Market phenomenon, spurred by the underdevelopment of local capital markets, which is typically associated with low domestic savings, in turn often caused by recent experience with, or lingering memories of, relatively high inflation rates.
That means if you are a country as these are, which have previously experienced high inflation – prices going up, - you as a citizen and a nation are not going to save but spend now because you know you will be able to buy less with that currency tomorrow.
So there we have it in a nutshell. Emerging market currency failures, because of borrowing too much dollar denominated debt and not structuring their economies correctly to manage it, further cause investment capital to leave their country and flee into the US dollar, thereby strengthening the dollar further resulting in lower commodity prices such as gold and silver and this is likely to continue while the emerging market crisis plays out. Economists differ as to which countries may fail first or the most, but Adam Slater of Oxford economics based on his calculations state that the first major wave will be Turkey, Brazil, Chile and Malaysia, followed by a second group of Colombia, South Africa and Argentina. We shall have to wait and see if he’s right in terms of pecking order, but the writing is on the wall, for these countries, unless the US changes its interest rate policy and begin to lower rates – and for the US dollar to fall, which is very unlikely to happen if the US adopts an US First policy. Lets just wait and see but please heed our caution, be careful to whom you are listening and the authority and experience that those who profess to guide you actually have.
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https://youtu.be/d52YYGijGQsAbout the Site 🌐
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