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http://www.financial-spread-betting.com/ccount/click.php?id=95How strong is the trend?
http://www.financial-spread-betting.com/course/what-is-a-trend.html PLEASE LIKE AND SHARE THIS VIDEO SO WE CAN DO MORE! When trading a market you have two decisions to make - either you decide to follow the trend or you fade the trend or actually you decide not to get involved at all! If you are following the trend, the million dollar question is this trend going to continue, for how long will it continue, does it have the strength to continue? We don't know that so we can only make a best guess....
Part 1:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XbwNTmj4b3QPart 2:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WAqg-yUui9UPart 3:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eBBJKbsO8PoSo how do we minimise this kind of thing. For me trend is an equation of supply and demand. Now when we have extreme demand coming in, we have aggressive buyers buying the offer, moving the price higher which is causing that trend to move up. When the supply-demand shifts back to equilibrium that's when we get a flat line with supply and demand matching each other. So how do we determine the strength of a trend? Simply look at a chart and see the angle of a trend is going to give you a good hint of how strong the trend is... Generally the best idea is to buy pullbacks in such a scenario.
Trending Trading
The next few lessons are all about how you can trade a trend. There are two basic ways to trade a trend, one is simply to follow the trend and ride up on the increasing value (in an uptrend). The other is to try and spot a turning point, and get in early to trade countertrend.
They say that markets are trending about 40% of the time. The rest of the time they are going sideways, sometimes called trendless movement, or doing range trading, which is oscillating within a limited range of prices. The reason we are interested in trading on a trend, even though markets trend for a minority of the time, is that generally it is more predictable, more profitable and easier to trade.
It is easy to see that you will make money if you happen to own a stock or other financial instrument while it is trending up in price. It doesn’t even matter if you only own it for part of the time when it is trending upwards, you are still making money. But to maximize your profit, you will want to own it as soon as it starts and sell it before it ends. That’s where skill, judgment, and expertise come into play.
Looking in more detail at an uptrend, commonly you will see a strong uptrend punctuated by short pullbacks or retracements. So the first lesson may be not to buy directly into the uptrend when you see one happening, but to follow it until you see a pullback so that you can buy at a lower price. Pullbacks vary in size, but quite often happen in Fibonacci ratios, such as one third (or more properly 31.8%), a half, and sometimes even two thirds. If the trend is a strong one, you will rarely see this latter ratio, which is more a precursor to a failing trend and reversal.
When you are considering a trend, it helps to have in mind what causes the trend to go up and what influences the pullbacks. In the simplest form, it is a matter of supply and demand, but you can see this in action in different ways.
For instance, a trend could increase in price strongly either with a strong demand and a lot of supply, or with a modest demand but severely limited supply. This is where checking the volume of trading on the chart can help you.
When we get to the pullback situation, this may happen because demand has lessened, forcing those traders who are determined to sell to accept lower prices. Alternatively, perhaps there is an increase in the number of sellers or supply as suddenly the stock is falling out of favour. The markets sum up the actions and sentiment of a great number of traders. Once again, studying the volume of trading can reveal more about the motives behind the price movements.
The market is not mechanical, and you must with bear in mind that it is strongly influenced by the sentiment of other traders. We look more at trading pullbacks in the next lesson.
Related Videos:
How to Trade Trends and Build a Trend-Based Trading Strategy! 👊
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tMfCMTY5TN4Guide to Trading Pullbacks within a Trend Part 1 👍
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aRP6jE6ydgkHow to Profit from Trading Pullbacks within a Trend Part 2 👍
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wGJH4pUbaHwPullBack Day Trading Strategies Part 3 👍
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zR9CzWOzSQUHow Can You Determine the Strength of a Trend? Part 1
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XbwNTmj4b3QHow Strong is the Trend? Pullbacks: The Trend Strength Indicator Part 2
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WAqg-yUui9UPowerful Techniques to Determine Trend Strength: Analysing Past Levels of Support/Resistance Part 3
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